Attractor Theory

A Model of Minds and Motivation:

[Epistemic status: Moderately strong. Attractor Theory is a model based on the well-researched concept of time-inconsistent preferences combined with anecdotal evidence that extends the theory to how actions affect our preferences in general. See the Caveats at the end for a longer discussion on what this model is and isn’t.]

Introduction:

I’ve thinking about minds and motivation somewhat on/off for about a year now, and I think I now have a model that merges some related ideas together into something useful. The model is called Attractor Theory, and it brings together ideas from Optimizing Your Mindstate, behavioral economics, and flow.

Attractor Theory is my attempt to provide a way of looking at the world that hybridizes ideas from the Resolve paradigm (where humans Actually Try and exert their will) and the “click-whirr” paradigm (where humans are driven by “if-then” loops and proceduralized habits).

As a brief summary, Attractor Theory basically states that you should consider any action you take as being easier to continue than to start, as well as having meta-level effects on changing your local preferences for which actions feel desirable.

The Metaphor:

Here’s a metaphor that provides most of the intuitions behind Attractor Theory:

Imagine that you are in a hamster ball:

This is the You that is definitely You.

As a human inside this ball, you can kinda roll around by exerting energy. But it’s hard to do so all of the time — you’d likely get tired from all the pushing! Still, if you really wanted to, you could push the ball and move.

…and haters

These are Utilons. They represent productivity hours, lives saved, HPMOR fan-fictions written, or anything else you care about maximizing. You are trying to roll around and collect as many Utilons as possible.

Notice the smile.

But the terrain isn’t actually smooth. Instead, there are all these Attractors that pull you towards them. Attractors are like valleys, or magnets, or point charges. Or maybe electrically charged magnetic valleys. (I’m going to Physics Hell for that.)

Pretty attractive, huh?

The point is that they draw you towards them, and it’s hard to resist their pull.

Also, Attractors have an interesting property: Once you’re being pulled in by one, this actually modifies other Attractors. This usually manifests by changing how strongly other ones are pulling you in. Sometimes, though, this even means that some Attractors will disappear, and new ones may appear.

Brought to you by quantum consciousness.

As a human, your goal is to navigate this tangle of Utilons and Attractors from your hamster ball, trying to collect Utilons.

Yep. Definitely how it works.

Now you could just try to take a direct path to all the nearest Utilons, but that would mean exerting a lot of energy to fight the pull of Attractors that pull you in Utilon-sparse directions.

Instead, given that you can’t avoid Attractors (they’re everywhere!) and that you want to get as many Utilons as possible, the best thing to do seems to be to strategically choose which Attractors you’re drawn to and selectively choose when to exert energy to move from one to another in order to maximize your overall trajectory.

This is the last picture. Sorry about that.

The Model:

Global Optimization:

You can think of actions you take as Attractors. Your agency is represented by the “meta-human” that can roll around.

Thus, actions pull you in but you still have some limited control when it comes to choosing which loops you dive into and which ones to pop out of.

While the default view of humans and decisions seems to be something like viewing actions as time-chunks that we can just slot into our schedule, Attractor Theory attempts to present a model that moves away from that and shifts our intuitions to:

1) think less about our actions in a vacuum / individually

2) consider starting / stopping costs more

3) see our preferences in a more mutable light, changing in response to actions

It’s my hope that thinking about actions in as “things that draw you in” can better improve our intuitions about global optimization:

My point here is that, phenomenologically, it feels like our actions change the sorts of things we might want. Every time we take an action, this will, in turn, prime how we view other actions, often in somewhat predictable ways. I might not know exactly how they’ll change, but we can get good, rough ideas from past experience and our imaginations.

For example, the set of things that feel desirable to me after running a marathon may differ greatly from the set of things after I read a book on government corruption.

Actions affect my local preferences.

(I may still have central values, like wanting everyone to be happy, which I place higher up in my sense of self, which aren’t affected by these, but I’m mainly focusing on local preferences for this model.)

When you start seeing your actions in terms of, not just their direct effects, but also their effects on how you can take further actions, I think this is useful. It changes your decision algorithm to be something like:

“Choose actions such that their meta-level effects on my by my taking them allow me to take more actions of this type in the future and maximize the number of Utilons I can earn in the long run.”

By phrasing it this way, it makes it more clear that most things in life are a longer-term endeavor that involve trying to globally optimize, rather than locally. It also provides a model for evaluating actions on a new axis — the extent to which is influences your future, which seems like an important thing to consider.

(While it’s arguable that a naive view of maximization should by default take this into account from a consequentialist lens, I think making it explicitly clear, as the above formulation does, is a useful distinction.)

This allows us to better evaluate actions which, by themselves, might not be too useful, but do a good job of reorienting ourselves into a better state of mind. For example, spending a few minutes outside to get some air might not be directly useful, but it’ll likely help clear my mind, which has good benefits down the line for other actions I’ll take.

Along the same lines, Attractor Theory suggests you view actions, not as one-time deals, but a sort of process that actively changes how you perceive other actions. In some sense, these effects should perhaps be as important a consideration as time or effort when looking at a task.


Going Upstream:

Attractor Theory also conceptually mirrors the idea of precommitment:

Humans often face situations where we fall prey to “in the moment” urges, which soon turn to regret. These are known as time-inconsistent preferences, where what we want quickly shifts, often because we are in the presence of something that really tempts us.

An example of this is the dieter who proclaims “I’ll just give in a little today” when seeing a delicious cake on the restaurant menu, and then feeling “I wish I hadn’t done that” right after gorging themselves.

Precommitment is the idea that you can often “lock-in” your choices beforehand, such that you will literally be unable to give into temptation when the actual choice comes before you, or avoid the opportunity to even face the choice entirely.

An example from the above would be something like having a trustworthy friend bring food over instead of eating out, so you can’t stuff yourself on cake because you weren’t even the one who ordered food.

There’s seems to be a general principle here of “going upstream”, such that you’re trying to target places where you have the most control, such that you can improve your experiences later down the line. This seems to be a useful idea, whether the question is about finding leverage or self-control.

Attractor Theory views all actions and situations as self-reinforcing slippery slopes. As such, it more realistically models the act of taking certain actions as leading you to other Attractors, so you’re not just looking at things in isolation.

In this model, we can reasonably predict, for example, that any video on YouTube will likely lead to more videos because the “sucked-in-craving-more-videos Future You” will have different preferences than “needing-some-sort-of-break Present You”.

This view allows you to better see certain “traps”, where an action will lead you deeper and deeper down an addiction/reward cycle, like a huge bag of chips or a webcomic. These are situations where, after the initial buy-in, it becomes incredibly attractive to continue down the same path, as these actions make it very easy to keep going.

Under the Attractor Theory paradigm, your goal, then, is to focus on finding ways of being drawn to certain actions and avoiding others. You wan to find ways that you can avoid specific actions which you could lead you down bad spirals, even if the initial actions themselves may not be that distracting.

Such a model of evaluating potential actions also has the interesting corollary of placing greater value on actions that are precommitments. For example, if you are trying to avoid a certain temptation, e.g. binging on Netflix, going hiking for a day would be seen as a very very good option because Hiking You will have drastically different local preferences than the Current Reward-Seeking You.

For me, this means taking opportunities to go do things , even if I don’t anticipate liking the thing itself. This is because I don’t quite trust my in-the-moment decision-making algorithm to come up with optimal suggestions (especially if I’m at home, where there’s a plethora of things to tempt me.)

So instead, taking any chance to go somewhere, do something, or hang out with someone else is actually far more beneficial than what a naive view might suggest.

The result is chaining together actions and their effects on how you perceive things in an upstream way, like precommitment.


Exploring, Starting, and Stopping:

Local optima are also visually represented by this model: We can get caught in certain chains of actions that do a good job of netting Utilons. Similar to the above traps, it can be hard to try new things once we’ve found an effective route already.

Chances are, though, that there’s probably even more Utilons to be had elsewhere. In which case, being able to break out to explore new areas could be useful.

Attractor Theory also does a good job of modeling how actions seem much harder to start than to stop. Moving from one Attractor to a disparate one can be costly in terms of energy, as you need to move against the pull of the current Attractor.

Once you’re pulled in, though, it’s usually easier to keep going with the flow. So using this model ascribes costs to starting and places less of a cost on continuing actions.

By “pulled in”, I mean making it feel effortless or desirable to continue with the action. I’m thinking of the feeling you get when you have a decent album playing music, and you feel sort of tempted to switch it to a better album, except that, given that this good song is already playing, you don’t really feel like switching.

Given the costs between switching, you want to invest your efforts and agency into, perhaps not always choosing the immediate Utilon-maximizing action moment-by-moment but by choosing the actions / situations whose Attractors pull you in desirable directions, or make it such that other desirable paths are now easier to take.


Summary and Usefulness:

Attractor Theory attempts to retain willpower as a coherent idea, while also hopefully more realistically modeling how actions can affect our preferences with regards to other actions.

It can serve as an additional intuition pump behind using willpower in certain situations. Thinking about “activation energy” in terms of putting in some force to slide into positive Attractors removes the mental block I’ve recently had on using willpower.

(I’d been stuck in the “motivation should come from internal cooperation” mindset.)

The meta-level considerations when looking at how Attractors affect how other Attractors affect us provides a clearer mental image of why you might want to precommit to avoid certain actions.

For example, when thinking about taking breaks, I now think about which actions can help me relax without strongly modifying my preferences. This means things like going outside, eating a snack, and drawing as far better break-time activities than playing an MMO or watching Netflix because the latter are powerful self-reinforcing Attractors that also pull me towards more reward-seeking directions.

I see Attractor Theory as being useful when it comes to thinking upstream and providing an alternative view of motivation that isn’t exactly internally based.

Hopefully, this model can be useful when you look at your schedule to identify potential choke points / bottlenecks can arise, as a result of factors you hadn’t previously considered relating to how actions can affect you.


Caveats:

Attractor Theory assumes that different things can feel desirable depending on the situation. It relinquishes some agency by assuming that you can’t always choose what you “want” because of external changes to how you perceive actions. It also doesn’t try to explain internal disagreements, so it’s still largely at odds with the Internal Double Crux model.

I think this is fine. The goal here isn’t exactly to create a wholly complete prescriptive model or a descriptive one. Rather, it’s an attempt to create a simplified model of humans, behavior, and motivation into a concise, appealing form that your intuitions can crystallize. (Similar to the Kahneman System 1 and System 2 distinction.)

I admit that if you tend to use an alternate ontology when it comes to viewing how your actions relate to the concept of “you”, this model might be less useful, and I guess that’s okay.

This is not an attempt to capture all of the nuances / considerations in decision-making. It’s simply an attempt to partially take a few pieces and put them together in a more coherent framework. Attractor Theory merely takes a few pieces that I’d previously had as disparate nodes and chunks them together into a more unified model, which I think can be useful for some subset of people.

Advertisements

12 comments

    • Some good ones off the top of my head:
      1) Meditative reflection
      2) Exercising
      3) Journaling [similar to 1]
      4) Any project (e.g. one small part of a major coding project)
      5) Laying on the ground / sleeping / getting food / non-reward-hacky-relaxation things (probably drawing / writing / talking to a friend)

      Glad you enjoyed it! (I’d like to use more of Attractor Theory as well in my own life. The link was interesting, though I merely skimmed it.)

      Like

  1. Ok, I want to give a quick feedback without being too down.

    Study NLP.

    “Using your brain for a Change” from Bandler to start the Journey, Then “frogs into PRINCEs”, Then study M. Ericksson and Unconscious Buddhist sleep/dream rationality.

    And Erik von Sydow’s product called Sphinx of Imagination.

    Than… you should read TRANCEformations.

    Then you should spent 5 years refining your concepts on “Rationality” then,

    You should study Ayurveda and spent the next 10 years in awe and thanking the universe to make me come here by mere acaso and thankfully pray in gratitude for the clutter and noise it’all washed your box of human’s filters in understanding other forms of Rationality then epistemologic knowledge.

    I’m reaaaly sorry if it sounded arrongant in any way. I really tried to do my best.
    and will work to better each moment towards a better approach.

    (I think you have huge talent, but it’s not close enough. yet.)

    Cheers!
    Love on,

    Lucas Glasner Regis.

    Like

  2. So you mean to consider the second and third order consequences of your actions and choose a path to go down that snowballs and also be open to better paths as you reach plateaus

    Like

    • That’s part of it, yeah,

      (Although I’d probably recommend to just stick with second-order consequences (i.e. local preference changes) as recursive stacks three or more tend to be hard for me to visualize/use in practice.)

      The rest of it that I hoped I sorta got across was about precommitment/willpower/the attractive nature of activities.

      Like

  3. Great topic. I’m really interested in finding research done about designing Attractors that catalyze/pull sustained and rapidly propagating positive behavior. Do you have pointers for that? Thanks a lot!

    Like

    • Hi Fabian!

      I think there’s some stuff in both habits and learning theory that might be good to look into. There’s often a distinction between “habitual” and “goal-directed” actions, where goal-directed actions are the choices you deliberately make.

      There’s been some research on changing intentions, which then might affect the conscious decisions you make.

      Otherwise, things like interval reward schedules / operant conditioning seem to be related in how they can affect someone by causing them to continue to pursue a certain action.

      In the field of public policy, you might want to check out Richard Thaler / Cass Sunstein’s idea of nudges: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nudge_(book) or these two about making/breaking habits and how to apply it to public policy: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/309191280_Healthy_Through_Habit_Interventions and https://www.researchgate.net/publication/277501269_Interventions_to_Break_and_Create_Consumer_Habits

      (There’s an upcoming Habits 101 primer on some of this stuff, so also just stay tuned if you’re looking for more practical tips.)

      I know this isn’t exactly the thing you want, alas, seeing as Attractors often are about affecting preferences / more conscious decisions (and a lot of my reply focuses on habits), but the above sources can probably give you some examples as to how to set up your own environments to be more conducive to your goals.

      Let me know if there’s other info I can give that might be helpful.

      Like

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s